headlines

Scenario projections

The EDGAR method for emissions calculation can also be used together with scenario model projections of future activity patterns to estimate future emissions. Within the FP6 project CIRCE: Climate Change and Impact Research: the Mediterranean Environment the JRC EDGAR team has estimated emissions for the coming 4 decades. Scenario projections for the energy-related sectors were taken from the macroeconomic model POLES, while the integrated model IMAGE was used for the agriculture-related sectors.

The EDGAR team was involved in the scenario projections for:

  • the FP6 project: Climate Change and Impact Research: the Mediterranean Environment (CIRCE)
    (For more info: please contact Julian.Wilsonjrc.ec.europa.eu or consult www.circeproject.eu)
  • the UNEP-BC study: gridding IIASA projections with different black carbon and methane control measures for 2030
    (For more info: please contact: Rita.van-Dingenenjrc.ec.europa.eu or consult www.unep.org/dewa/Portals/67/pdf/Black_Carbon.pdf)


JRCThe mission of the JRC is to provide customer-driven scientific and technical support for the conception, development, implementation and monitoring of EU policies. As a service of the European Commission, the JRC functions as a reference centre of science and technology for the Union. Close to the policy-making process, it serves the common interest of the Member States, while being independent of special interests, whether private or national.